Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031310 0.034197 0.037102 0.040238 0.043522 0.046853 0.050483
2026-01-04 0.026525 0.030787 0.035218 0.040145 0.045448 0.050964 0.057114
2026-01-11 0.023245 0.028524 0.034176 0.040622 0.047720 0.055249 0.063795
2026-01-18 0.020611 0.026655 0.033301 0.041055 0.049760 0.059148 0.069961
2026-01-25 0.017259 0.023657 0.030901 0.039554 0.049462 0.060324 0.073009
2026-02-01 0.015022 0.021740 0.029553 0.039080 0.050175 0.062505 0.077070
2026-02-08 0.013274 0.020248 0.028567 0.038906 0.051129 0.064876 0.081275
2026-02-15 0.012429 0.019789 0.028749 0.040049 0.053562 0.068894 0.087319
2026-02-22 0.011557 0.019216 0.028727 0.040897 0.055608 0.072439 0.092802
2026-03-01 0.010607 0.018459 0.028417 0.041342 0.057136 0.075355 0.097538
2026-03-08 0.009637 0.017597 0.027913 0.041499 0.058278 0.077788 0.101694
2026-03-15 0.009084 0.017266 0.028056 0.042433 0.060338 0.081287 0.107079
2026-03-22 0.007882 0.015946 0.026870 0.041679 0.060351 0.082390 0.109713
2026-03-29 0.007130 0.015222 0.026435 0.041852 0.061482 0.084817 0.113902
2026-04-05 0.006601 0.014789 0.026364 0.042474 0.063155 0.087885 0.118848
2026-04-12 0.006082 0.014327 0.026224 0.042983 0.064674 0.090760 0.123562
2026-04-19 0.005000 0.012860 0.024601 0.041473 0.063601 0.090456 0.124456
2026-04-26 0.004327 0.011997 0.023787 0.041001 0.063813 0.091693 0.127175
2026-05-03 0.003799 0.011327 0.023216 0.040830 0.064387 0.093358 0.130397
2026-05-10 0.003647 0.011325 0.023632 0.042008 0.066706 0.097180 0.136234
2026-05-17 0.003433 0.011188 0.023832 0.042882 0.068625 0.100505 0.141471
2026-05-24 0.003144 0.010874 0.023745 0.043340 0.069995 0.103145 0.145874
2026-05-31 0.002816 0.010446 0.023457 0.043502 0.070962 0.105275 0.149653